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AIR FARES HEAD SKYWARD

BTS Releases 3rd-Quarter 2012 Air Fare Data; 3rd-Quarter 2012 Domestic Air Fares Rose 1.8% from 3rd Quarter 2011

Average domestic air fares rose to $367 in the third quarter of 2012, up 1.8 percent from the average fare of $361 in the third quarter of 2011 (Table 1), the U.S. Department of Transportation's Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) reported today. Huntsville, Ala., had the highest average fare, $522, while Atlantic City, N.J., had the lowest, $133 (Table 3).

Not adjusted for inflation, the $367 third-quarter 2012 average fare is the fifth-highest average fare for any quarter since BTS began collecting air fare records in 1995. The highest was $385 in the second quarter of 2012. The previous third-quarter high was $361 in 2011. Third-quarter 2012 fares were $243 in 1995 dollars, down 18.1 percent from the average fare of $297 in 2000, the inflation-adjusted high for any third quarter (Tables 1 and 2).

BTS, a part of the Research and Innovative Technology Administration, reports average fares based on domestic itinerary fares. Itinerary fares consist of round-trip fares unless the customer does not purchase a return trip. In that case, the one-way fare is included. Fares are based on the total ticket value which consists of the price charged by the airlines plus any additional taxes and fees levied by an outside entity at the time of purchase. Fares include only the price paid at the time of the ticket purchase and do not include other fees, such as baggage fees, paid at the airport or onboard the aircraft. Averages do not include frequent-flyer or "zero fares" or abnormally high reported fares.

Passenger airlines collected 71.2 percent of their total revenue from passenger fares during the third quarter of 2012, down from 1990 when 87.6 percent of airline revenue was received from fares (Table 1A).

Unadjusted third-quarter fares increased 9.0 percent from the third quarter of 2000 to the third quarter of 2012. During those 12 years, inflation-adjusted fares declined 18.1 percent while there was an overall increase in consumer prices of 33.2 percent. In the 17 years from 1995, unadjusted air fares rose 27.7 percent compared to a 15.5 percent decline in inflation-adjusted fares and a 51.0 percent increase in consumer prices (Table 6). See BTS Air Fare web page for historic data.

Unadjusted third-quarter 2012 fares were up 19.6 percent from the recession low of $307 in 2009 (Table 1).

Unadjusted third-quarter fares decreased 4.6 percent from the second quarter of 2012 while inflation-adjusted fares declined 5.0 percent. Both declines were the largest quarter-to-quarter decreases in the last two years (Table 2). Quarter-to-quarter changes may be affected by seasonal factors such as the number of passengers. In the last 18 years, U.S. airlines carried an average of 1.3 percent fewer originating passengers in the third quarter of the year than in the second quarter. The number of originating passengers decreased by 1.6 percent in the third quarter of 2012 from the second quarter.

See Tables 3-5 for data about the top 100 airports based on 2011 originating passengers.

Table 3: Five highest and five lowest average fares in the third quarter: Huntsville, a market with a high representation of business, military and government travelers, had the highest average fare ($522) while Atlantic City, a leisure-dominated market, had the lowest ($133). For the Top 100 Airports, see Table 8 on the BTS website.

Table 4: Five largest increases and five largest decreases from the third quarter of 2011 to the third quarter of 2012: Newport News/Williamsburg, Va., had the largest increase, 33.1 percent, and Atlantic City, had the largest decrease, 19.7 percent. For the Top 100 Airports, see Table 9 on the BTS website.

Table 5: Five largest increases and five largest decreases from the third quarter of 2000 to the third quarter of 2012: Newport News/Williamsburg had the largest increase, 83.7 percent, and White Plains, N.Y., had the largest decrease, 41.4 percent. For the Top 100 Airports, see Table 10 on the BTS website.

For additional data, see Top 100 Airports, Rankings or All Airports. Since average fares are based on the Origin and Destination Survey 10 percent ticket sample, averages for airports with smaller samples may be less reliable. Fares for Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto Rico airports are not included in rankings but are available on the web page. Fourth-quarter 2012 average fare data will be released on April 24.

Table 1: 3rd Quarter Average Fares 1995-2012 Compared to Inflation Rate

Average Domestic 3Q Fares ($)

Percent change from previous year

Percent change from 1995

Average Fares (3Q to 3Q)

Inflation (Sep from previous Sep)*

Cumulative Average Fares (3Q 1995 to 3Q of each year)

Cumulative inflation rate (Sep of each year from Sep 1995)*

Average Fare in 1995 dollars

1995

288

-

-

-

-

288

1996

269

-6.3

3.0

-6.3

3.0

262

1997

282

4.7

2.2

-1.8

5.2

268

1998

315

11.7

1.5

9.6

6.8

295

1999

317

0.6

2.6

10.3

9.6

289

2000

337

6.1

3.5

17.1

13.4

297

2001

303

-10.0

2.6

5.4

16.4

260

2002

303

0.1

1.5

5.5

18.1

257

2003

312

3.0

2.3

8.7

20.9

258

2004

297

-5.1

2.5

3.1

24.0

239

2005

306

3.2

4.7

6.4

29.8

236

2006

330

7.9

2.1

14.8

32.4

249

2007

328

-0.8

2.8

13.9

36.1

241

2008

359

9.6

4.9

24.8

42.8

251

2009

307

-14.5

-1.3

6.8

41.0

218

2010

340

10.7

1.1

18.2

42.6

238

2011

361

6.2

3.9

25.5

48.1

244

2012

367

1.8

2.0

27.7

51.0

243

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

* Rate calculated using Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index.

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

Table 1A Passenger Airline Revenue from Fares 1990-2012

Year

Revenue from Passenger Fares as Percent of Total Scheduled Passenger Airline Revenue* (%)

1990

87.6

1995

85.6

2000

84.1

2001

82.7

2002

82.3

2003

79.5

2004

76.6

2005

75.0

2006

74.4

2007

74.3

2008

72.9

2009

70.2

2010

71.3

2011

71.0

2012 (1Q)

70.0

2012 (2Q)

70.8

2012 (3Q)

71.2

2012 (thru 3Q)

70.7

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, P-12

* Scheduled passenger airline total revenue is the sum of the following Schedule P12 accounts with account numbers: Reservation cancellation fees (3919.1), Baggage fees (3906.2), Miscellaneous Operating Revenue (3919.2), Transport-Related Revenue (4898) and Passenger Revenue (Fares) (3901).

Table 2: Quarterly Change in Average Domestic Airline Fares

Percent Change by Quarter

Quarter/Year

Average Domestic Fares

Current $

Inflation-Adjusted

Avg Fare (current$)

Pct. Change from Previous Quarter (%)

Inflation-Adjusted Avg Fare (1995$)

Pct. Change from Previous Quarter (%)

2Q 2010

341

3.8

237

3.7

3Q 2010

340

-0.3

235

-0.5

4Q 2010

335

-1.5

231

-1.8

1Q 2011

356

6.3

241

4.2

2Q 2011

370

3.9

248

2.9

3Q 2011

361

-2.4

241

-2.9

4Q 2011

368

2.1

251

3.9

1Q 2012

373

1.2

246

-1.9

2Q 2012

385

3.2

256

3.9

3Q 2012

367

-4.6

243

-5.0

SOURCE: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

Note: Quarter-to-quarter changes may be affected by seasonal factors.

Table 3: Airports with Highest and Lowest U.S. Domestic Average Itinerary Fares 3rd Quarter 2012

Top 100 Airports* Based on 2011 U.S. Originating Domestic Passengers

Rank

Origin

3rd Quarter 2012 ($)

Highest Average Fares

1

Huntsville, AL

522

2

Cincinnati, OH

519

3

Houston Bush, TX

503

4

Washington Dulles

499

5

Memphis, TN

485

Average Fare at All Airports

367

Lowest Average Fares

1

Atlantic City, NJ

133

2

Long Beach, CA

230

3

Bellingham, WA

246

4

Fort Lauderdale, FL

261

5

Las Vegas, NV

262

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

* Not including Alaska, Hawaii or Puerto Rico

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

Table 4: One-Year Change by Airport: Top 5 Percentage Increases and Decreases/Smallest Increases in U.S. Domestic Average Itinerary Fare, 3rd Quarter 2011 to 3rd Quarter 2012

Top 100 Airports* Based on 2011 U.S. Originating Domestic Passengers

Rank

Origin

3rd Quarter 2011 ($)

3rd Quarter 2012 ($)

Percent Change (%)

Largest Increases

1

Newport News/Williamsburg, VA

321

428

33.1

2

Boise, ID

340

390

14.9

3

Grand Rapids, MI

397

446

12.4

4

Greensboro/High Point, NC

383

426

11.4

5

Milwaukee, WI

285

317

11.1

Average Fare at All Airports

361

367

1.8

Largest Decreases/Smallest Increases

1

Atlantic City, NJ

166

133

-19.7

2

Colorado Springs, CO

418

380

-9.0

3

Burbank/Glendale/Pasadena, CA

299

277

-7.3

4

Oakland, CA

307

289

-5.7

5

Portland, OR

372

357

-4.2

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

* Not including Alaska, Hawaii or Puerto Rico

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

Table 5: 11-Year Change by Airport: Top 5 Percentage Increases and Decreases in U.S. Domestic Average Itinerary Fare, 2000-2012

Top 100 Airports* Based on 2011 U.S. Originating Domestic Passengers

Rank

Origin

3rd Quarter 2000 ($)

3rd Quarter 2012 ($)

Percent Change (%)

Largest Increases

1

Newport News/Williamsburg, VA

233

428

83.7

2

El Paso, TX

260

384

47.9

3

Houston Hobby, TX

219

324

47.6

4

Burbank/Glendale/Pasadena, CA

189

277

46.1

5

Reno, NV

232

334

43.9

Average Fare at All Airports

337

367

9.1

Largest Decreases

1

White Plains, NY

555

326

-41.4

2

Bellingham, WA

379

246

-35.2

3

Atlantic City, NJ

188

133

-29.4

4

Denver, CO

436

316

-27.5

5

Long Beach, CA

316

230

-27.1

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

* Not including Alaska, Hawaii or Puerto Rico

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

Table 6: Percent Changes to 2012 in Domestic Average Itinerary Fares and the Inflation Rate* by Year Since 1995

(3rd Quarter to 3rd Quarter for fares; Sept to Sept for inflation)

Since 3rd Quarter ...

Duration in Years

Average 3Q Itinerary Fare ($)

Percent Change in Average Fare to 3rd Quarter 2012

Inflation Rate to Sept 2012

2012

367

2011

1

361

1.8

2.0

2010

2

340

8.1

5.9

2009

3

307

19.6

7.1

2008

4

359

2.3

5.8

2007

5

328

12.1

11.0

2006

6

330

11.2

14.0

2005

7

306

20.0

16.4

2004

8

297

23.8

21.9

2003

9

312

17.5

24.9

2002

10

303

21.0

27.8

2001

11

303

21.2

29.8

2000

12

337

9.0

33.2

1999

13

317

15.7

37.8

1998

14

315

16.5

41.4

1997

15

282

30.1

43.6

1996

16

269

36.2

46.6

1995

17

288

27.7

51.0

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics

* Rate calculated using Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index

Note: Percent change based on unrounded numbers

For air fares for the following airports, go to http://apps.bts.gov/xml/atpi/src/index.xml

Multiple airport areas for which a single average fare calculation is available are: Boston, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, Los Angeles, New York, San Francisco and Washington, DC.

Airports covered by average fare calculations are:

Alabama.

Birmingham, Huntsville

Arizona

Phoenix, Tucson

Arkansas:

Little Rock

California:

Burbank, Fresno, Long Beach, Los Angeles Intl, Oakland,

Ontario/San Bernardino, Sacramento, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Santa Ana (Orange County)

Colorado

Colorado Springs, Denver

Connecticut

Hartford

District of Columbia

Dulles, Reagan National

Florida

Ft. Lauderdale, Ft. Myers, Jacksonville, Miami, Orlando, Pensacola,

Tampa, West Palm Beach

Georgia

Atlanta

Idaho

Boise

Illinois

Chicago Midway, Chicago O'Hare

Indiana

Indianapolis

Iowa

Des Moines

Kansas

Wichita

Kentucky

Louisville

Louisiana

New Orleans

Maine

Portland

Maryland

Baltimore

Massachusetts

Boston

Michigan

Detroit, Flint, Grand Rapids

Minnesota

Minneapolis/St. Paul

Mississippi

Jackson/Vicksburg

Missouri

Kansas City, St. Louis

Nebraska

Omaha

Nevada

Las Vegas, Reno

New Hampshire

Manchester

New Jersey

Atlantic City, Newark

New Mexico

Albuquerque

New York

Albany, Buffalo, Islip, New York JFK, New York LaGuardia, Rochester, Syracuse, White Plains

North Carolina

Charlotte, Greensboro, Raleigh/Durham

Ohio

Akron/Canton, Cincinnati, Cleveland, Columbus, Dayton

Oklahoma

Oklahoma City, Tulsa

Oregon

Portland

Pennsylvania

Harrisburg, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh

Rhode Island

Providence

South Carolina

Charleston, Greenville-Spartanburg

Tennessee

Knoxville, Memphis, Nashville

Texas

Austin, Dallas Love, Dallas/Ft. Worth, El Paso, Houston Bush,

Houston Hobby, San Antonio

Utah

Salt Lake City

Vermont

Burlington

Virginia

Newport News/Williamsburg, Norfolk, Richmond

Washington

Bellingham, Seattle, Spokane

Wisconsin

Madison, Milwaukee

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